Pre-tourney Rankings
Big South
2012-13


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
189 Charleston Southern 0.0%   16 - 12 12 - 4 16 - 12 12 - 4 -1.2      -0.9 194 -0.3 180 71.3 90 -3.1 218 -0.3 1
198 Gardner-Webb 0.0%   18 - 12 11 - 5 18 - 12 11 - 5 -1.7      -2.2 232 +0.5 156 60.6 300 -2.1 198 -1.8 3
215 UNC Asheville 0.0%   13 - 16 10 - 6 13 - 16 10 - 6 -3.0      -1.1 204 -1.9 226 74.4 44 -4.7 238 -3.3 4
220 High Point 0.0%   15 - 13 12 - 4 15 - 13 12 - 4 -3.3      -2.0 228 -1.3 209 66.8 186 -4.8 242 -1.0 2
241 Coastal Carolina 0.0%   11 - 15 9 - 7 11 - 15 9 - 7 -4.6      -3.7 270 -0.9 192 66.2 204 -6.0 258 -4.9 5
269 Liberty 100.0%   16   12 - 20 6 - 10 12 - 20 6 - 10 -6.3      -1.1 203 -5.2 307 67.4 175 -7.8 286 -10.7 10
277 Winthrop 0.0%   11 - 17 6 - 10 11 - 17 6 - 10 -6.9      -4.9 295 -2.0 232 58.1 328 -6.6 264 -9.3 9
294 VMI 0.0%   11 - 17 8 - 8 11 - 17 8 - 8 -8.5      -0.9 193 -7.6 335 79.8 8 -7.9 287 -7.3 6
297 Radford 0.0%   10 - 19 7 - 9 10 - 19 7 - 9 -8.9      -8.4 329 -0.5 184 72.2 74 -9.4 302 -8.8 7
298 Campbell 0.0%   11 - 19 7 - 9 11 - 19 7 - 9 -8.9      -3.4 261 -5.6 310 67.5 173 -8.7 298 -8.8 8
338 Presbyterian 0.0%   5 - 24 4 - 12 5 - 24 4 - 12 -14.5      -4.2 278 -10.3 343 59.9 309 -14.4 339 -12.0 11
341 Longwood 0.0%   6 - 25 4 - 12 6 - 25 4 - 12 -15.1      -4.8 292 -10.3 342 76.6 26 -14.2 336 -13.1 12






Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Charleston Southern 1.0 100.0
Gardner-Webb 3.0 100.0
UNC Asheville 4.0 100.0
High Point 1.0 100.0
Coastal Carolina 5.0 100.0
Liberty 9.0 100.0
Winthrop 9.0 100.0
VMI 6.0 100.0
Radford 7.0 100.0
Campbell 7.0 100.0
Presbyterian 11.0 100.0
Longwood 11.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Charleston Southern 12 - 4 100.0
Gardner-Webb 11 - 5 100.0
UNC Asheville 10 - 6 100.0
High Point 12 - 4 100.0
Coastal Carolina 9 - 7 100.0
Liberty 6 - 10 100.0
Winthrop 6 - 10 100.0
VMI 8 - 8 100.0
Radford 7 - 9 100.0
Campbell 7 - 9 100.0
Presbyterian 4 - 12 100.0
Longwood 4 - 12 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Charleston Southern 100.0% 100.0
Gardner-Webb
UNC Asheville
High Point 100.0% 100.0
Coastal Carolina
Liberty
Winthrop
VMI
Radford
Campbell
Presbyterian
Longwood


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Charleston Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UNC Asheville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
High Point 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Coastal Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Liberty 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16   100.0
Winthrop 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
VMI 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Radford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Campbell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Presbyterian 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Longwood 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid
First
Four
First
Round
Second
Round
Sweet
Sixteen
Elite
Eight
Final
Four
Final
Game
Champion
Charleston Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UNC Asheville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
High Point 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Coastal Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Liberty 100.0% 100.0% 39.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Winthrop 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
VMI 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Radford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Campbell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Presbyterian 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Longwood 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 39.6% 0.4 60.4 39.6
2nd Round 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0